Most investment analysis confirms what you already believe.
This framework dissects the business, scrutinises management, stress-tests growth,
audits risk, builds the bear case, and cross-checks it all against price action
and market sentiment — so you see the full picture before you commit.
STEP 01
Business Model
"How does this company actually make money?"
Decompose the revenue model, gross margins, and the one-sentence money engine.
STEP 02
Management Quality
"Will management compound my capital or destroy it?"
Score integrity, long-term thinking, capital allocation, communication, and execution. Get a verdict out of 10.
STEP 03
Growth Drivers
"Where did growth come from, and what limits it?"
Decompose historical growth into structural vs. temporary sources. Identify the binding constraint. Validate the bull-case assumption.
STEP 04
3-Layer Risk Audit
"What could break this investment?"
Operational fragility, balance sheet stress, and structural/external threats — each analyzed from a different lens.
STEP 05
Bear Case
"How could I lose money on this stock?"
The devil's advocate memo. Finds the single most likely failure mode and ends with: "If [X] happens, the thesis is broken."
STEP 06
Technicals & Sentiment
"What do price, momentum, and market positioning say?"
MACD crossover, RSI, 50/200-day MA, short interest, 12-month momentum vs S&P 500, and analyst EPS revision trend — do the technicals confirm or contradict the bear case?